India 49/2 at tea chasing South Africa's 361. 42 overs left in the day -- most of which should be bowled.
What is your prediction for end of day score?
Bharat
Showing posts with label RFP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label RFP. Show all posts
Monday, January 3, 2011
Monday, December 27, 2010
Updated RFP (Request for Predictions): What's the par 4th innings target for South Africa?
India are effectively 166/4 at the end of Day 2. What is your estimate for
a) The 50-50 target for South Africa -- i.e, the score at which the odds of a South African win and Indian win are exactly equal?
b) The target India will actually set
c) The final result
I think 270 is par (100 more runs or so) and India will struggle to get there. The first hour will be key -- Steyn's groin won't allow him to go all out for longer than 3-4 overs. If India lose 2 wickets in that span, they are done.
My head says India will set 230 and lose by 4 wickets, but my heart say 300 and a heart-stopping 40 run victory as VVSL enhances his 3rd & 4th innings rep as a crisis man!
Thanks,
Bharat
a) The 50-50 target for South Africa -- i.e, the score at which the odds of a South African win and Indian win are exactly equal?
b) The target India will actually set
c) The final result
I think 270 is par (100 more runs or so) and India will struggle to get there. The first hour will be key -- Steyn's groin won't allow him to go all out for longer than 3-4 overs. If India lose 2 wickets in that span, they are done.
My head says India will set 230 and lose by 4 wickets, but my heart say 300 and a heart-stopping 40 run victory as VVSL enhances his 3rd & 4th innings rep as a crisis man!
Thanks,
Bharat
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